As a thick high cloud ceiling sets in this THURSDAYthe bottom of the range is blocked (in the clouds) particularly in the west of the massif with a snowy episode which begins there during the afternoon this Thursday above 1700/1900 meters.
It gets worse tomorrow Friday, but does not impact the rest of the range which remains dry under the south wind. This type of weather lasts until night from Friday to Saturday.
Then the flow shifts to the West-North-West.
Thus, the days of Saturday and Sunday are not very similar to know everywhere very cloudy. Showers are coming down from the North and affecting most of the range. The first massifs are this time more concerned than the bottom of the chain. These showers remain weak, but therefore quite frequent and lasting, with snow around 1000/1200 meters or even locally 800/1000 meters under the last showers Monday morning. The maximums will not exceed, over these three days, -1/+2 degrees around 1500 meters and -5/-3 degrees around 2200 meters.
By Monday morning the total could be as follows:
– around 1500 meters: traces at 2 cm in Pyrénées-Orientales, 2 to 5 cm elsewhere or even 10 cm locally in Couserans.
– around 1900 meters: 3 to 5 cm in Cerdagne/Capcir, 10 to 15 cm generally elsewhere, even 15 to 20 cm in Haut-Couserans and Haute-Bigorre.
– above 2400 meters: 5 to 10 cm in Cerdagne/Capcir, 10 to 20 cm generally elsewhere, 20 to 30 cm in Haute-Ariège and locally 50 cm towards Gavarnie on the Spanish border due to the significant southern overflows on Thursday /Friday.
The Massif Central :
Clouds, rain, and a strong south wind eating away the little remaining snow… the program is not encouraging until Saturday afternoon.
Then a refreshment arrives from the West. It comes giving small showers of snow above approximately 1100/1300 meters in end of day Saturdaywhich will quickly calm down in the following evening/night simply whitening the floors higher up.
Sunday, and until the start of Monday: the westerly flow still brings a few light showers to the western part of the massif. These showers are accompanied by snowflakes above 1000/1100 meters or even 800/900 meters Monday morning under the last showers.
On Sunday+Monday we could thus have: 1 to 3 cm of snow around 1000/1100 meters in the Cantal and Sancy mountains, generally around 1300/1500 meters elsewhere and 5 to 10 cm of snow at these altitudes in the west of the massif even 15 cm on the highest peaks of Cantalous and the Puys chain. Not enough to relaunch the season, but a winter atmosphere which will be good… especially since the temperatures will be falling.
For example, on Sunday it will not be more than -2/+1 degrees around 1400 meters at the best of the day and this will still be the case on Monday.
A semblance of winter then.
This winter blow will therefore have very heterogeneous consequences from one massif to another. You have understood, it is probably in the Southern Alps that we will have to be in the next few days even if the other reliefs will see snowfall (sometimes significant) in the next few days as well.
Happy skiing, and see you Monday!