The first estimates of the success of Dune: Part Two at the box office have arrived, and it could be absolutely huge.
Since the phenomenon Barbenheimer, Dune 2 is the American blockbuster most likely to revive cinemas. While French cinemas are at their lowest despite the feeling of The Area of Interest at the box office, its arrival is welcome. For weeks (or even months), the cast has been working hard to increase impatience. As for Denis Villeneuve, he promises that his Dune 2 will be more tragic than the book. Obviously, the spectators are bubbling with excitement and it’s true that the wait is long.
Result: the film could well break everything at the box office. If we are to believe the predictions of the various American media, notably Deadline, Dune 2 should without much surprise surpass all the previous films in Denis Villeneuve’s filmography. But the film could also (and above all) measure up to other giants of the American box office, or even surpass some big Hollywood hits of recent years. We decipher it all.
dune 2: towards the billion?
Since 2016, Villeneuve has consistently exceeded $200 million in global box office revenue. First with First contact (203 million, including 24 million during its domestic opening weekend), then with Blade Runner 2049 (253 million, including 32 million for its first American weekend). Then came the phenomenon Dunereleased simultaneously in theaters and on HBO Max in the United States, a little over a month after its international release. And despite this double release, the film grossed more than $41 million in its first domestic weekend. It ended its run with $402 million collected worldwide.
According to Deadline, Dune 2 could be aiming for a US opening weekend of between $65 million and $80 million, based on ticket pre-sales that have already begun in the United States. If we choose to be optimistic, this second part could therefore collect double the previous one for its first weekend. Last year, the phenomenon Oppenheimer had raised $82 million in opening (and barbie, 162 million). Christopher Nolan’s film then exceeded $950 million in revenue worldwide.
Dune 2 could therefore, with a little success, achieve the feat of exceeding a billion dollars in revenue. Only six films have achieved this performance since 2020: Jurassic World 3, Mario, barbie, Top Gun: Maverick, No Way Home And Avatar 2. The first objective will obviously be to surpass the first Dune, but Villeneuve can dream bigger. And if he wants to be able to make his third and final film on Arrakis, Dune: Messiahthe numbers will have to be on his side.
With its budget of 120 million dollars according to ScreenRant, this second film would have cost less than the first, which had an official budget of 165 million. The opportunity for Villeneuve and Warner to generate significant profitability? To discover the new adventures of Paul Atréides, see you on February 28 in French cinemas (and tickets are already selling like hot cakes).